What would a crisis look like right now, and how would you know?

Crises start quietly: a failed fund, a frozen market, a currency breaking a level it never breaks. Imagining the crisis before it arrives is how traders recognise it early.

What would a crisis look like right now, and how would you know? — support and resistance diagram
Price bouncing between support and resistance

Post your scenario:

  • the first sign you'd expect
  • the markets that would move first
  • what you'd do in the first hours
What would a crisis look like right now, and how would you know? — central bank rate path diagram
A central bank's policy rate path across recent meetings

Background: the Asian crisis and the SNB shock for templates.

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