Tail risks for retail traders: what's protection worth?

Retail traders can't buy the hedges institutions use, but they can size for tail risk: smaller positions, wider stops, less leverage, more cash. Protection through design rather than instruments.

What's your tail-risk design?

  • how you size for outlier moves
  • the scenarios your plan survives
  • the tail event that reshaped your sizing

Background: the SNB shock and weekend gaps.

Background: Weekend gaps: why prices jump when the forex market reopens

Currencies stop trading on Friday evening, but the news doesn't. What happens to your positions and stops when the market reopens at a different price.

What is a weekend gap in forex?

A difference between Friday's closing price and the first price when the market reopens on Sunday, caused by news or events over the weekend.

Will my stop-loss protect me from a gap?

Not fully. A standard stop is triggered when the market reopens and fills at the first available price, which can be beyond the stop. Guaranteed stops, where offered, avoid this for a fee.

Read the full guide

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