How do you build a macro view from scratch?

Starting from zero: growth, inflation, policy, flows — assembled into a currency view. The process is teachable, and everyone's version differs in the details.

How do you build a macro view from scratch? — central bank rate path diagram
A central bank's policy rate path across recent meetings

Walk through yours:

  • the inputs you gather first
  • how you weigh them into a view
  • how the view becomes trades
How do you build a macro view from scratch? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

Background: GDP explained, CPI explained and interest rates.

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