US GDP grew 3.4% in Q3 2026, according to the first estimate
The BEA's advance estimate puts real GDP up at an annual rate of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2026, covering July to September. It is the first of three estimates for the quarter.
Real gross domestic product in the United States increased at an annual rate of 3.4% in the third quarter of 2026, July through September. The Bureau of Economic Analysis published this advance estimate on 29 October 2026 (BEA: GDP, third quarter 2026, advance estimate).
Key figures
- Real GDP, annualised: up 3.4% in Q3 2026
- Estimate: advance, the first of three for the quarter
- Release date: 29 October 2026
Reading it
An advance estimate uses partial data, so the figure is revised in the later estimates, and it can move. Read the second and third estimates before drawing a firm conclusion about the quarter. The same day, the BEA published September's personal income and spending figures (Personal income and spending, September 2026).
For how US data move the dollar pairs, see what moves EUR/USD.
Sources
Common questions
What was US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
The BEA's advance estimate put real GDP up 3.4% at an annual rate.
Is the advance GDP estimate final?
No. The BEA revises the estimate in later releases, so the figure can change.
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