When do you kill a strategy?

Every strategy goes through drawdowns that look like death, and traders face the call: is the edge gone or is this normal variance? Kill too early and you abandon a working system; kill too late and you ride it into the ground.

When do you kill a strategy? — drawdown and recovery diagram
An equity curve during a drawdown and its recovery

What's your kill rule?

  • the drawdown or trade count that triggers review
  • how you distinguish broken from unlucky
  • the strategy you kept too long or killed too soon
When do you kill a strategy? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

The drawdown guide gives the statistics for making the call.

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