What's your read on the next quarter?

The quarterly view: themes, risks, levels. Written down at the start of the quarter, reviewed at the end. The thread's discipline is the point.

Post your read:

  • the theme you expect to dominate
  • the pairs that express it
  • the risk that could blow it up

Background: inflation targets and bond yields.

Background: Inflation targets of the major central banks: Fed, ECB, BoE, BoJ, SNB, BoC, RBA and RBNZ

Most major central banks aim for inflation of about 2%, but the measures and ranges differ. A reference guide to each target, how recent inflation compares, and why the details matter for currencies.

What is the Federal Reserve's inflation target?

2% over the longer run, measured by the annual change in the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index.

Which central banks have an inflation target range?

The Bank of Canada targets 2% as the midpoint of 1–3%, the Reserve Bank of Australia targets 2–3%, and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand targets 1–3% with a focus on the 2% midpoint.

Read the full guide

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