What do you consider a high-probability setup?

"High probability" is used loosely for anything that looks good. The precise version means: your recorded stats show this setup wins at a rate that pays for the losses — not a feeling about the chart.

What do you consider a high-probability setup? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

Define yours:

  • the setup and its recorded win rate
  • the confluences that lift its probability
  • how you know the probability is real
What do you consider a high-probability setup? — candlestick anatomy diagram
The parts of a candlestick: wick, body, open and close

The expectancy guide explains what probability needs to overcome.

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