The Fed decides on 28 October after its September hike. What would change your dollar view?

The Federal Open Market Committee meets on 27 and 28 October, and the decision is due on 28 October (Fed preview). Its last move was a quarter-point rise on 16 September, to a target range of 3.75% to 4.00% (FOMC statement).

The Fed decides on 28 October after its September hike. What would change your dollar view? — central bank rate path diagram
A central bank's policy rate path across recent meetings

The Federal Reserve's calendar marks projections for March, June, September and December, not October. This meeting therefore brings a decision and a statement without a new set of projections. The next projections come with the 8–9 December meeting (FOMC calendar).

We would like to hear how you read it:

  • Do you trade the dollar on the decision itself, or on the statement's wording afterwards?
  • Which phrase in the September statement would you compare first with the October one?
  • Without new projections this month, do you wait for December before changing your view of the dollar?
  • Have you seen a dollar pair move on a Fed decision and then reverse within the same session?
The Fed decides on 28 October after its September hike. What would change your dollar view? — trading sessions clock diagram
The four forex trading sessions across a 24-hour day

What happens when the Fed hikes explains how rate decisions reach currencies, and how to trade the news covers planning around scheduled releases.

Please share your own approach and reasoning, not calls for others to copy. Posts that promise a direction or sell signals will be removed.

Background: How to trade the news: a step-by-step strategy guide

News moves currency pairs faster than anything else in the market. Here is how to trade news releases with a plan, not a prayer — including the releases that matter, the risks around the release minute, and three strategies that respect both.

What is the best news to trade in forex?

The releases that consistently move currencies are US CPI, non-farm payrolls and Fed decisions for the dollar, CPI and Bank of England decisions for sterling, ECB decisions for the euro, and Bank of Japan decisions for the yen.

Should beginners trade the news?

Most beginners are better off reducing positions before high-impact releases and learning to trade the aftermath first. The release minute itself has widened spreads and fast reversals that punish inexperience.

Read the full guide

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