Election watch: which votes are moving currencies?
Elections repriced currencies all year: polls, debates and results each move expectations in waves. This thread tracks the votes that matter for markets.
What are you following?
- the election and the policy stakes
- how the polls are moving the currency
- how you position around the uncertainty
Background: risk-on risk-off explained for the mood mechanics.
Background: Risk-on, risk-off explained: how market mood moves currencies
When investors feel confident, higher-yielding and commodity currencies tend to rise; when fear takes over, the yen, franc and dollar often gain. How risk sentiment works and how to spot a shift.
What does risk-on mean in forex?
A period when investors are confident and willing to take risk, which tends to lift stocks, higher-yielding currencies and commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar, while the yen and Swiss franc weaken.
Which currencies rise in a risk-off market?
Typically the Japanese yen, the Swiss franc and often the US dollar, as investors look for safety and liquidity.
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