What's your view on the aussie for the next month?

A monthly standing thread for AUD views. China's demand, commodity prices and the RBA's path are the three legs of the aussie's stool.

What's your view on the aussie for the next month? — moving average crossover diagram
A fast moving average crossing a slower one

Post:

  • your view and reasoning
  • the China signals you're watching
  • what invalidates the view
What's your view on the aussie for the next month? — central bank rate path diagram
A central bank's policy rate path across recent meetings

Background: Australia's GDP and China's exports.

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