What are you watching in the franc pairs?
The franc's two faces — safe haven and SNB-managed — play out differently in EUR/CHF and USD/CHF. One reads as policy, the other as fear.
Post:
- which franc pair you follow and why
- how haven flows are showing up
- the SNB signals you're tracking
Background: safe-haven currencies and the SNB preview.
Background: Safe-haven currencies: why the yen and Swiss franc rise in a crisis
When markets panic, money flows into a few currencies seen as safe. Why the yen, franc and dollar play that role, and when it breaks down.
Why is the yen a safe-haven currency?
Japan holds large foreign assets that tend to be brought home in a crisis, and the yen is widely borrowed to fund carry trades. Both lead to yen buying when markets fall.
What is a risk-off move?
A shift away from risky assets such as stocks and higher-yielding currencies, towards perceived safe havens such as the yen, Swiss franc, dollar and gold.
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