US housing data: what's it telling you about the economy?

Builder confidence fell to 32 in September as mortgage rates and costs bite (report). Housing is the rate-sensitive canary of the US economy.

US housing data: what's it telling you about the economy? — central bank rate path diagram
A central bank's policy rate path across recent meetings

What's your read?

  • how housing fits your Fed expectations
  • the housing releases you follow
  • how the sector's weakness reaches the dollar
US housing data: what's it telling you about the economy? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

Background: how interest rate decisions move currencies.

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