What would a surprise look like this week?

Markets move on surprises, not scheduled facts. Imagining the surprise in advance — the data print nobody expects, the policy shift nobody's priced — prepares you for it.

What would a surprise look like this week? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

Post:

  • the surprise you think is possible this week
  • how the market would react
  • how you'd respond
What would a surprise look like this week? — candlestick anatomy diagram
The parts of a candlestick: wick, body, open and close

The calendar shows where surprises could land.

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