Central bank watch: which meetings are on your radar?

A standing thread for central bank watching. Post the meetings you're tracking, what you expect and what would surprise you — the surprises are what actually move markets.

Central bank watch: which meetings are on your radar? — central bank rate path diagram
A central bank's policy rate path across recent meetings

Format:

  • the bank and the date (check the calendar)
  • your expectation and the reasoning
  • what would change your view
Central bank watch: which meetings are on your radar? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

Background: how interest rate decisions move currencies.

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