Central bank watch: which meetings are on your radar?

A standing thread for central bank watching. Post the meetings you're tracking, what you expect and what would surprise you — the surprises are what actually move markets.

Format:

  • the bank and the date (check the calendar)
  • your expectation and the reasoning
  • what would change your view

Background: how interest rate decisions move currencies.

Background: How interest rate decisions move currencies

Central bank decisions are the biggest scheduled events in forex. Why rates matter, why a hike can weaken a currency, and what to read beyond the decision.

Does a rate hike always strengthen a currency?

No. If the hike was fully expected, it is already in the price. The currency can even weaken if the central bank signals that it won't raise rates further.

What does hawkish mean?

Leaning towards higher interest rates to control inflation. A hawkish surprise usually supports the currency.

Read the full guide

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