EUR/USD has fallen four weeks in a row. Does a streak like that count as a signal for you, or is it just a description?

On ECB reference rates the euro closed each of the last four weeks lower against the dollar: $1.1622 on 4 September, $1.1592 on 11 September, $1.1460 on 18 September, $1.1403 on 25 September and $1.1225 on 2 October, then $1.1204 on 5 October, the lowest since 16 May 2025 (full report). These are once-a-day fixings, not trading prices.

A streak is a description of what already happened. Whether it says anything about what comes next is one of the oldest debates in trading. Trend followers see persistence. Mean-reversion traders see a stretched move. Many people see nothing, because fundamentals, not streaks, set price.

The timeframe matters too. A move that looks like a clear trend on a weekly chart can be a series of small ranges on an hourly one. How to trade trends and how to trade ranging markets cover the two approaches.

We would like to hear your method:

• Do you count consecutive weekly or daily moves, or do you use other measures such as moving averages or breakouts?
• If you do use streaks, what do you look for to tell continuation from exhaustion?
• Which timeframe do you use to call a trend after a long fall, and why?
• Have you tested the idea on your own records?

How to trade EUR/USD covers the pair.

Please share your own approach and reasoning, not calls for others to copy. Posts that promise a direction or sell signals will be removed.