Carry trades after the Fed's hike: is earning the rate difference still worth the risk?
A carry trade earns the difference between two interest rates, usually by holding a higher-yielding currency against a lower-yielding one (carry trade explained). With US rates now at 3.75%–4.00% and the Bank of Japan at 1.00%, the gap is wide again.
Carry works until volatility spikes, and yen pairs have seen intervention this year.
For members who hold positions for days or weeks:
- Do you include swap income in your trade plan, or treat it as a bonus?
- What would make you close a carry position early: a volatility level, a central bank meeting, or a price level?
- Do you hedge the currency risk in any way?
Please describe your own reasoning. Posts that sell strategies or promise returns will be removed.
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