Sharpe and profit factor: which metrics do you judge a strategy by?
Return alone says nothing. Profit factor shows gross win versus gross loss; Sharpe adjusts returns for volatility; maximum drawdown shows what it cost to earn. Each metric hides something the others reveal.
Which do you use?
- the metrics you track for your own trading
- the threshold a strategy must clear
- the metric that fooled you once
The expectancy guide defines the core set.
Background: Drawdown and recovery: why a 50% loss needs a 100% gain
Losses and gains aren't symmetrical. See how much you need to recover from a drawdown, what losing streaks do at different risk levels and how to set limits.
How much do you need to gain to recover from a 50% loss?
100%. The gain needed is the loss divided by one minus the loss, so larger drawdowns need disproportionately larger gains.
What is maximum drawdown?
The largest fall in account value from a peak to a later low, before a new peak is reached, usually expressed as a percentage.
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