Policy divergence: which central banks are going their own way?

When central banks diverge — one hiking while another cuts — the currency pairs between them trend. Divergence is the mother of durable FX trends, and it's worth tracking deliberately.

Policy divergence: which central banks are going their own way? — central bank rate path diagram
A central bank's policy rate path across recent meetings

What are you seeing?

  • the divergence you're trading or watching
  • how long you expect it to last
  • the pair that expresses it best
Policy divergence: which central banks are going their own way? — trend versus range diagram
A trending market compared with a ranging one

Background: how interest rate decisions move currencies and inflation targets.

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