Geopolitical risk: how do you model something unquantifiable?

Conflicts, sanctions and supply shocks don't fit spreadsheets, but they dominate currency moves when they hit. Traders cope with scenario thinking: what would a disruption do to oil, to havens, to specific pairs — before it happens.

How do you prepare?

• the scenarios you've mapped in advance
• how you size positions when geopolitics heats up
• the event that reshaped your model

The safe-haven guide and oil guide cover the two classic channels.