Election risk: how do you trade around national votes?

Elections move currencies through policy expectations, and the moves arrive in polling waves rather than one release. Position squaring before the vote, then gaps at the open — the whole playbook is about surviving uncertainty.

Election risk: how do you trade around national votes? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

What's your approach?

  • the currencies whose elections you follow
  • whether you reduce or hedge into the vote
  • an election that taught you something
Election risk: how do you trade around national votes? — candlestick anatomy diagram
The parts of a candlestick: wick, body, open and close

The risk-on risk-off guide covers the mood shifts elections trigger.

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