Fading news spikes: what's your rule for trading the overshoot?

A release spikes price far beyond what the data justifies, and the fade trader sells the overshoot. The entry must be fast, the stop tight, and the discipline absolute — the spike can extend before it reverts.

Fading news spikes: what's your rule for trading the overshoot? — bid-ask spread diagram
The bid-ask spread on a currency pair

Do you fade spikes?

  • the conditions that make a fade valid
  • how you time and size the entry
  • the spike that kept going and taught you the stop
Fading news spikes: what's your rule for trading the overshoot? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

The bid, ask and slippage guide explains the fills you'll get in those seconds.

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