Peg trading: the Hong Kong dollar and other pegs

Pegged currencies trade in narrow bands by design — until the peg breaks, and then the move is historic. Trading pegs is a study in asymmetric risk: small steady profits, rare catastrophic losses.

Peg trading: the Hong Kong dollar and other pegs — moving average crossover diagram
A fast moving average crossing a slower one

Have you traded one?

  • the peg and your strategy
  • how you weighed the break risk
  • what you learned from a peg break, if you've seen one
Peg trading: the Hong Kong dollar and other pegs — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

The Hong Kong dollar peg guide explains the mechanics.

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