Which central bank matters most for the pairs you trade?

Every currency has a central bank behind it, and their decisions move the market more than almost anything else. A beginner doesn't need to follow all of them — just the ones behind their pairs.

Which central bank matters most for the pairs you trade? — central bank rate path diagram
A central bank's policy rate path across recent meetings

Share:

  • the pairs you trade
  • the central banks you follow for them
  • how you keep up with their meeting dates
Which central bank matters most for the pairs you trade? — pip movement diagram
How a pip moves the exchange rate

The economic calendar marks central bank decisions, and how interest rate decisions move currencies explains why a hike or cut changes the exchange rate.

Background: How interest rate decisions move currencies

Central bank decisions are the biggest scheduled events in forex. Why rates matter, why a hike can weaken a currency, and what to read beyond the decision.

Does a rate hike always strengthen a currency?

No. If the hike was fully expected, it is already in the price. The currency can even weaken if the central bank signals that it won't raise rates further.

What does hawkish mean?

Leaning towards higher interest rates to control inflation. A hawkish surprise usually supports the currency.

Read the full guide

Comments

Log in to join the discussion. Comments follow the community guidelines.

Log in to comment

Loading comments…