Trade balance and current account: what do they tell you about a currency?

A country that exports more than it imports earns more foreign currency than it spends, which supports its currency over time. The relationship is slow and easily overwhelmed by interest rates, but it sets the background.

Trade balance and current account: what do they tell you about a currency? — support and resistance diagram
Price bouncing between support and resistance

Post your questions, and if you trade a pair because of trade flows (AUD, NZD, CAD traders come to mind), explain what you watch.

Trade balance and current account: what do they tell you about a currency? — central bank rate path diagram
A central bank's policy rate path across recent meetings

The trade balance guide covers both measures in plain language.

Comments

Log in to join the discussion. Comments follow the community guidelines.

Log in to comment

Loading comments…