Safe-haven currencies: when do the yen and franc actually rally?

The yen and Swiss franc are the classic havens: when fear rises, money flows in. But havens don't rally on every bad headline, and in recent years interest rate differences have overpowered the haven effect.

Safe-haven currencies: when do the yen and franc actually rally? — central bank rate path diagram
A central bank's policy rate path across recent meetings

Share what you've observed:

  • a recent risk event, and which currencies actually moved
  • whether you trade haven pairs when fear spikes
  • how you distinguish haven flows from rate-driven moves
Safe-haven currencies: when do the yen and franc actually rally? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

The safe-haven guide covers the theory and the real-world exceptions.

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