Positioning extremes: do you fade the crowd?

When everyone is positioned one way, the fuel for the move is spent and the reversal becomes likely — in theory. Crowded trades can stay crowded for months, which is why positioning is a slow, dangerous signal.

Positioning extremes: do you fade the crowd? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

How do you use it?

  • the positioning data you watch
  • the conditions that make extremes tradable for you
  • the crowded trade that kept working against you
Positioning extremes: do you fade the crowd? — candlestick anatomy diagram
The parts of a candlestick: wick, body, open and close

The risk-on risk-off guide covers the mood that drives crowding.

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