Yield differentials: do you trade the spread between two yields?

The gap between two countries' bond yields tracks the relative attractiveness of their currencies, and some traders use it as a slow macro signal — entering when the differential turns and holding for weeks.

Yield differentials: do you trade the spread between two yields? — bid-ask spread diagram
The bid-ask spread on a currency pair

Do you?

  • which yields you track for your pairs
  • how a change in the differential becomes a trade
  • the times the signal divorced from the currency
Yield differentials: do you trade the spread between two yields? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

The bond yields guide explains the transmission.

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