How do you verify a trading claim you read online?

"This indicator has a 90% win rate" — every claim needs the same questions: over what sample, after what costs, with what rules, survivorship included? Asking them is a skill traders develop slowly.

How do you verify a trading claim you read online? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

What's your checklist?

  • the questions you ask of any claim
  • the claim you once believed and later debunked
  • how you test claims cheaply before trusting them
How do you verify a trading claim you read online? — moving average crossover diagram
A fast moving average crossing a slower one

The expectancy guide supplies the debunking maths.

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