Hot-hand thinking: do wins make you feel unbeatable?
The hot-hand fallacy extends winning streaks into the future: "I'm on fire, the next one's guaranteed". The feeling produces oversized trades exactly when caution is needed.
What's your experience?
- how winning streaks change your confidence
- the oversized trade the streak produced
- how you keep streaks in perspective
The expectancy guide shows streaks are statistical, not personal.
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