How do you trade through data revisions?

A release lands in line, then the revisions rewrite the story — last month's payrolls cut, the prior quarter's growth adjusted. The market's second reaction often outweighs the first.

How do you trade through data revisions? — central bank rate path diagram
A central bank's policy rate path across recent meetings

What's your method?

  • whether you wait for revisions before acting
  • how you handle a position based on a now-revised number
  • the revision that reversed your trade
How do you trade through data revisions? — risk-reward diagram
A risk-reward ratio of 1 to 2

The economic calendar guide explains why the previous column exists at all.

Background: Why economic data get revised after the first release

The first figure in a release is often revised. US GDP is revised in later estimates, and payroll numbers can change in later months. Here is what that means when you read a headline.

Why does GDP get revised?

Later estimates use more complete source data, so the figure can change between the advance, second and third estimates.

Read the full guide

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